The Secrets of Life, the Universe, and Everything
Betteridge’s Law: “Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word no.”
Brandolini’s Law: “The amount of energy needed to refute bullshit is an order of magnitude bigger than to produce it.”
Campbell’s Law: “The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor.” Similar to Goodhart’s Law: a metric that becomes a target ceases to be a useful metric.
Dunning–Kruger Effect: “a cognitive bias wherein people of low ability have illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their cognitive ability as greater than it is.”
Fredkin’s Paradox: “The more equally attractive two alternatives seem, the harder it can be to choose between them—no matter that, to the same degree, the choice can only matter less.” Similar to Buridan’s Ass: “a hypothetical situation wherein a donkey that is equally hungry and thirsty is placed precisely midway between a stack of hay and a pail of water. Since the paradox assumes the ass will always go to whichever is closer, it dies of both hunger and thirst since it cannot make any rational decision between the hay and water.”
Fundamental Attribution Error: “the tendency people have to overemphasize personal characteristics and ignore situational factors in judging others’ behavior. Because of the fundamental attribution error, we tend to believe that others do bad things because they are bad people. We’re inclined to ignore situational factors that might have played a role.”
Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect: “I believe everything the media tells me except for anything for which I have direct personal knowledge, which they always get wrong.”
Godwin’s Law: “as an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1; that is, if an online discussion (regardless of topic or scope) goes on long enough, sooner or later someone will compare someone or something to Adolf Hitler or his deeds, the point at which effectively the discussion or thread often ends.”
Hanlon’s Razor: “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”
Lindy Effect: “the observed lifespan of a non-perishable item like a business is most likely to be at its half-life. So, if a business is 100 years old, [one] should expect it to be around for another 100 years. And a business that has been around for 10 years should be around for another 10 years. Under the Effect, the mortality of a business actually decreases with time.”
Lucretius Problem: “a mental defect where we assume the worst-case event that has happened is the worst-case event that can happen.”
Mandela Effect: “a situation in which a large mass of people believes that an event occurred when it did not.”
Occam’s Razor: Short version: “when you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.” Sometimes modified to: “The explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is most likely to be correct.” Longer version: If two competing theories explain a single phenomenon, and they both generally reach the same conclusion, and they are both equally persuasive and convincing, and they both explain the problem or situation satisfactorily, the logician should always pick the less complex one.
Parkinson’s Law of Triviality aka The Bike Shed Effect: “The amount of time spent discussing an issue in an organization is inversely correlated to its actual importance in the scheme of things. Major, complex issues get the least discussion while simple, minor ones get the most discussion.” Not to be confused with Parkinson’s Law: “Work expands so as to fill the time available for its completion.”
Poe’s Law: “Without a clear indication of the author’s intent, it is difficult or impossible to tell the difference between an expression of sincere extremism and a parody of extremism.”
Pratfall Effect: a psychological phenomenon that says that competent people appear more likeable and attractive when they make a mistake than when they are perfect.
Pygmalion Effect: “the phenomenon whereby others’ expectations of a target person affect the target person’s performance. The effect is named after the Greek myth of Pygmalion, a sculptor who fell in love with a statue he had carved.” Also known as the Rosenthal Effect. “A corollary of the Pygmalion effect is the Golem Effect, in which low expectations lead to a decrease in performance; both effects are forms of self-fulfilling prophecy.”
Righteousness Fallacy: “assuming that just because a person’s intentions are good, they have the truth or facts on their side.” Also known as the Fallacy of Good Intentions.
Searls’ Law: “Logic and reason sit on the mental board of directors, but emotions cast the deciding votes.”
Shirky Principle: “Institutions will try to preserve the problem to which they are the solution.”
Streisand Effect: “the unintended consequence of further publicizing information by trying to have it censored.”
Sturgeon’s Law: 99% of everything is crap.
Von Restorff Effect: a bias for remembering the unusual, also known as the Isolation Effect. “When multiple homogeneous stimuli are presented, the stimulus that differs from the rest is more likely to be remembered.”