The Secrets of Life, the Universe, and Everything Else
Betteridge’s Law: “Any headline that ends in a question mark can be answered by the word no.”
Campbell’s Law: “The more any quantitative social indicator is used for social decision-making, the more subject it will be to corruption pressures and the more apt it will be to distort and corrupt the social processes it is intended to monitor.” Similar to Goodhart’s Law: a metric that becomes a target ceases to be a useful metric.
The Dunning–Kruger Effect: “a cognitive bias wherein people of low ability have illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their cognitive ability as greater than it is.”
Fundamental Attribution Error: “the tendency people have to overemphasize personal characteristics and ignore situational factors in judging others’ behavior. Because of the fundamental attribution error, we tend to believe that others do bad things because they are bad people. We’re inclined to ignore situational factors that might have played a role.”
The Gell-Mann Amnesia Effect: “I believe everything the media tells me except for anything for which I have direct personal knowledge, which they always get wrong.”
Godwin’s Law: “as an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving Nazis or Hitler approaches 1; that is, if an online discussion (regardless of topic or scope) goes on long enough, sooner or later someone will compare someone or something to Adolf Hitler or his deeds, the point at which effectively the discussion or thread often ends.”
Hanlon’s Razor: “Never attribute to malice that which is adequately explained by stupidity.”
The Lindy Effect: “the observed lifespan of a non-perishable item like a business is most likely to be at its half-life. So, if a business is 100 years old, it should expect it to be around for another 100 years. And a business that has been around for 10 years should be around for another 10 years. Under the Effect, the mortality of a business actually decreases with time.”
Occam’s Razor: Short version: “when you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.” Sometimes modified to: “The explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is most likely to be correct.” Longer version: If two competing theories explain a single phenomenon, and they both generally reach the same conclusion, and they are both equally persuasive and convincing, and they both explain the problem or situation satisfactorily, the logician should always pick the less complex one.
Poe’s Law: “Without a clear indication of the author’s intent, it is difficult or impossible to tell the difference between an expression of sincere extremism and a parody of extremism.”
The Pratfall Effect: a psychological phenomenon that says that competent people appear more likeable and attractive when they make a mistake than when they are perfect.
Shirky Principle: “Institutions will try to preserve the problem to which they are the solution.”
The Streisand Effect: “the unintended consequence of further publicizing information by trying to have it censored.”
The Pygmalion Effect: “the phenomenon whereby others’ expectations of a target person affect the target person’s performance. The effect is named after the Greek myth of Pygmalion, a sculptor who fell in love with a statue he had carved.” Also known as the Rosenthal Effect. “A corollary of the Pygmalion effect is the Golem Effect, in which low expectations lead to a decrease in performance; both effects are forms of self-fulfilling prophecy.”
The Righteousness Fallacy: “assuming that just because a person’s intentions are good, they have the truth or facts on their side.” Also known as the Fallacy of Good Intentions.